Govt Fuel Adjustment Impact Tracker

Pakistan · how diesel price moves ripple through transport, farm inputs & the input–output margin

Base data: 16 Aug 2026

Fuel Impact Index

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Composite cost pressure · base = 100

Transport Cost

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Freight / haulage index

Farm Input Cost

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Fertiliser + on-farm diesel

Margin Squeeze

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Input cost ÷ output price

Price inputs EDIT LIVE

High-Speed Diesel (HSD)—

Current price PKR / litre

Reference price index = 100 baseline

Advanced assumptions

Pass-through (fuel sensitivity)

Transport 0.45diesel share of freight cost

Fertiliser 0.18fuel/freight share in delivered price

Output price 0.10crop price feed-through

Per-acre wheat model (PKR)

On-farm diesel litres / acre (tillage + tubewell)

Urea bags/acre × PKR/bag

DAP bags/acre × PKR/bag

Output maunds/acre × PKR/maund

Channel indices vs reference

Each bar = cost/price level relative to the reference diesel price (100). Above 100 = costlier than baseline.

What it means for one acre of wheat diesel —

Cost / revenue line	At reference	At current diesel	Change

Freight example · 1 ton, 300 km

Modelled from diesel pass-through to haulage. Pakistan does not publish standardised per-ton-km rates, so the reference trip cost is an editable assumption inside the transport pass-through coefficient.

How the index works. Diesel is the primary energy input to agriculture. Each channel rises with diesel by its pass-through coefficient β: a channel index = 100 × (1 + β × diesel %change). The headline Fuel Impact Index blends transport (40%) and farm-input (60%) cost pressure. Margin squeeze = input-cost index ÷ output-price index; above 100 means farmers are losing ground. All coefficients and per-acre quantities are editable above — change them to match your own crop, route or district.

Base figures (16 Aug 2026): HSD diesel ≈ PKR 383.95/L, petrol ≈ 325.43/L · Urea ≈ 4,300/bag · DAP ≈ 14,700/bag · Wheat support price 3,500/40 kg. Pakistan moved to daily OGRA fuel-price reviews in Jul 2026, so diesel/petrol here reflect the latest daily notification rather than the prior fortnightly cycle. Sources: OGRA · PSO · Times of Agriculture (fertiliser) · Pakistan Today (wheat). Figures are indicative; update the inputs with the latest notified rates.